Everything Counts


4-Team RL Parlay:  NYM/MIN/TB/COL 1 Unit

Saturday, August 17th, 2019 @ 7:00 a.m. PST  We know we shouldn't bet parlays, but what the heck, why not?  We are hoping for a little lot of luck today with NYM, MIN, TB, and COL all on the Runline (+795).  Good luck and hey, have fun!


Draft Your NFL & MLB Fantasy Lineups At DraftKings

The NFL regular season starts in a couple weeks (September 5th) so right now go to DraftKings and get ready for your 2019 Fantasy Football season.  Signup for FREE (no risk) today.  There are plenty of FREE contests available to play and only deposit real money if/when you feel comfortable.  Entry fees start at $1 and up and there is alway a chance to win some BIG money. XP plays NFL and MLB weekly - be like XP!  It's a lot of fun and adds to the excitement throughout the day.  Did I mention you can signup right now for FREE (no risk)?  Good luck!


XP's 2019 Fantasy Football Team



Saturday, August 17th, 2019 @ 1:00 pm PST  We, like millions of others, have joined a Fantasy Football League with friends and relatives.  Our Commissioner is using the Sleeper App to run the league.  There are 10 teams (might go to 12); Draft Day is in two weeks.  We are the AAA Football Organization.  We'll keep track of everything right here as the season progresses.  More info to come...

MON SEP 16th

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About XP's Picks

XP's FREE DAILY PICKS shall remain FREE forever!  Don't pay someone for picks!

XP specializes in Major League Baseball but invests in all other sports for educational and entertainment purposes only.  Check this page every day for XP's FREE Daily Picks.  All picks and results are documented on the Results Page.

General Form #1:  Parenthesis follow the team in which XP is investing.  In the following example, the first line indicates XP is investing in StL to win.  XP is investing in NYM to win on the second line. 

StL (ML +120) vs. NYM
StL vs. NYM (ML -120) 

With few exceptions, most wagers will be familiar:  ML = Moneyline;  RL = Runline;  AL = Alternate Line, and O/U = Over/Under (Totals).  Odds are the best line available at the time of the pick.

Big Savings for Big Fans at Fanatics.com

General Form #2:  XP invests ("risks") 1 unit per pick.  In XP's system, each unit is worth $10.00.  You determine the amount assigned to each unit according to your bankroll (i.e., how much you can afford and how confident you are). Obviously everyone is different... some may assign $1.00 per unit, some may assign $10.00 per unit, and others may assign $100.00 per unit, etc., you get the point.

Goal:  There is only one goal and that is to be ahead ($) at the end of the season or when you're ready to cash out.

Early lines vs. later lines.  Understanding line movement is important and oftentimes challenging.  XP will often invest/post the day before the event if better odds are likely.  For example, let's say the Islanders opened at +133 MoneyLine on Sunday but by game time on Monday, the odds moved to +105... it is advantageous to wager earlier.  The lines can obviously move in the different direction too. So ultimately, sometimes XP wagers the day before (or early in the morning) - other times, right before the event begins.  Not only do we want a winner, but we want to win the most possible.

Don't "follow" me (or anyone for that matter)!  The purpose of XP's FREE Picks is to provide for you another resource as you gather information from a variety of resources to collect knowledge as just one small part of your capping duties.  If you choose to mindlessly "follow me" (or anyone else) you're being lazy.  I don't know if I'm a great capper or a horrible capper - every year is different.  I've had some successful seasons and some failing seasons so I guess we won't know until the end of the season. Sometimes I get hot... sometimes I'm cold! Plus, if someone is merely "following" another and there is a cold streak, they for some reason get mad at who they are following.  You are responsible for your investments.  Good luck! 

Bottom line:  Success in sports investment is ultimately measured in the total units (+/-) you have. Records and winning percentages don't really count:  it's cool to brag that you are 9-1, winning at a 90% clip, but if you're still down 5 units, that is what matters.  It's cool to brag that, "I'm hot!  I'm on a seven-game winning streak!", but if you're still down 5 units, that is what matters.

Cardinal Rule #1:  Never invest more than you are more than happy to lose. 

Cardinal Rule #2:  See Cardinal Rule #1.

XP's Guiding Principles

Guiding Principle #1:  Don't bet parlays.

Guiding Principle #2:  Don't chase.

Guiding Principle #3:  Don't bet props.

Guiding Principle #4:  Recognize trends.

Guiding Principle #5:  Don't play just for the action.

Guiding Principle #6:  Increase/decrease wager size as per level of confidence.

Guiding Principle #7:  Become an expert on a few teams - specialize.

Guiding Principle #8:  Don't pay for picks.

Guiding Principle #9:  There is no such thing as a "lock."

XP Watch:  Online Sports Wagering

XP Sports advocates for the legalization and regulation of online sports wagering in the United States, just like it is everywhere else in the world.  The feds have finally legalized online wagering but most states are dragging their feet.  It's crazy that our powers-that-be are moving at such a snail's pace in this direction because of you-know-who and you-know-what.  This section will keep an eye on the progress, or lack thereof, of our decision-makers.

Start Here:  Comprehensive Information at Legal Sports Report

Gambling Laws, Regulation, & Licensing Authorities at GamblingSites.org

United States of Sports Betting:  An Updated Map of Where Every State Stands  ESPN

Americans Overwhelmingly Support Legal Sports Betting  American Gaming Association

UPDATE Saturday, July 27th, 2019 (XP Sports)  Although millions continue to wager online, only a small percentage of them in the USA are LEGALLY wagering online.  Still, there are no significant changes by any states related to this issue to report at this time.  


Thank you for visiting XPS, the Official Home of XP's FREE Daily Sports Picks

For education, entertainment, artistic, and creative purposes.  Good luck!

AWARE • Always wager responsibly • National Gambling Helpline • 1-800-522-4700

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