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2020 Playoffs

#
DATE 
game
risk
v/h
result
w
l
pct.
units(+/-)
total U
1
TUE SEP 29th
HOU vs MIN (RL-1.5 +125)
2.00 U to Win 2.50 U
4-1
Lost
0
1
.000
-2.00 U
-2.00 U
2
WED SEP 30th
CWS vs OAK (RL-1.5 +160) 
2.00 U to Win 3.20 U
3-5
Won
1
1
.500
+3.20 U
+1.20 U
3
THU OCT 1st
CIN vs ATL (Under 7.5 -120)
1.20 U to Win 1.00 U
0-5
Won
2
1
.666
+1.00 U
+2.20 U
4
FRI OCT 2nd
MIA (ML+180) vs CHC
1.00 U to Win 1.80 U
2-0
Won
3
1
.750
+1.80 U
+4.00 U
5
MON OCT 5th
HOU vs OAK (ML-131)
1.31 U to Win 1.00 U
10-5
Lost
3
2
.600
-1.31 U
+2.69 U
6
TUE OCT 6th
NYY vs TB (RL-1.5 +160)
1.00 U to Win 1.60 U
5-7
Won
4
2
.666
+1.60 U
+4.29 U
7
TUE OCT 6th
HOU vs OAK (RL-1.5 +160)
1.00 U to Win 1.60 U
5-2
Lost
4
3
.571
-1.00 U
+3.29 U
8
TUE OCT 6th
MIA vs ATL (RL-1.5 -110)
2.20 U to Win 2.00 U
5-9
Won
5
3
.625
+2.00 U
+5.29 U
9
WED OCT 7th
MIA vs ATL (RL-1.5 -115)
2.30 U to Win 2.00 U
0-2
Won
6
3
.666
+2.00 U
+7.29 U
10
THU OCT 8th
ATL (ML-140) vs MIA
1.40 U to Win 1.00 U
7-0
Won
7
3
.700
+1.00 U
+8.29 U
11
SUN OCT 11th
HOU vs TB (RL-1.5 +135)
1.00 U to Win 1.35 U
1-2
Lost
7
4
.636
-1.00 U
+7.29 U
12
MON OCT 12th
HOU vs TB (ML-131)
1.31 U to Win 1.00 U
2-4
Won
8
4
.666
+1.00 U
+8.29 U
13
MON OCT 12th
ATL (ML+125) vs LAD
1.00 U to Win 1.25 U
5-1
Won
9
4
.692
+1.25 U
+9.54 U
14
TUE OCT 13th
ATL (ML+150) vs LAD
1.00 U to Win 1.50 U
8-7
Won
10
4
.714
+1.50 U
+11.04 U
15
WED OCT 14th
TB (ML-142) vs HOU
1.42 U to Win 1.00 U
3-4
Lost
10
5
.666
-1.42 U
+9.62 U
16
FRI OCT 16th
HOU vs TB (Under 8 -115)
2.30 U to Win 2.00 U
7-4
Lost
10
6
.625
-2.30 U
+7.32 U
17
FRI OCT 16th
LAD vs ATL (ML+180)
3.00 U to Win 5.40 U
7-3
Lost
10
7
.588
-3.00 U
+4.32 U
18
SAT OCT 17th
ATL (ML+125) vs LAD
2.00 U to Win 2.50 U
1-3
Lost
10
8
.555
-2.00 U
+2.32 U
19
SAT OCT 10th**
NLCS: ATL (ML+180) vs LAD
1.00 U to Win 1.80 U
3/4
Lost
10
9
.526
-1.00 U
+1.32 U
20
TUE OCT 20th
TB vs LAD (RL-1.5 +110)
2.00 U to Win 2.20 U
3-8
Won
11
9
.550
+2.20 U
+3.52 U
21
WED OCT 21st
TB vs LAD (ML-134)
1.34 U to Win 1.00 U
6-4
Lost
11
10
.523
-1.34 U
+2.18 U
22
FRI OCT 23rd
LAD (RL-1.5 +105) vs TB
1.00 U to Win 1.05 U
6-2
Won
12
10
.545
+1.05 U
+3.23 U
23
SAT OCT 24th
LAD (RL-1.5 -110) vs TB
2.20 U to Win 2.00 U
7-8
Lost
12
11
.521
-2.20 U
+1.03 U
24
SUN OCT 25th
LAD vs TB (Under 8 -105)
2.10 U to Win 2.00 U
4-2
Won
13
11
.541
+2.00 U
+3.03 U
25
TUE OCT 27th
TB (ML+119) vs LAD
1.00 U to Win 1.19 U
1-3
Lost
13
12
.520
-1.00 U
+2.03 U

Updated:  Wednesday, October 28th, 2020 @ 5:40 am PST  •  What, you think this is easy?    **NLCS Future wagered on Saturday, October 10th.

 

2020 Regular Season

#
Date
game
risk
v/h
result
w
l
pct.
units(+/-)
total U
1
SAT JUL 25th
LAA vs OAK (RL-1.5 +140) 
2.00 U to Win 2.80 U
4-1
Lost
0
1
.000
-2.00 U
-2.00 U
2
SUN JUL 26th
PIT vs StL (RL-1.5 +115)
4.00 U to Win 4.60 U
5-1
Lost
0
2
.000
-4.00 U
-6.00 U
3
MON JUL 27th
LAA vs OAK (RL-1.5 +155) 
1.00 U to Win 1.55 U
0-3
Won
1
2
.333
+1.55 U
-4.45 U
4
TUE JUL 28th
COL vs OAK (RL-1.5 +110) 
2.00 U to Win 2.20 U
8-3
Lost
1
3
.225
-2.00 U
-6.45 U
5
WED JUL 29th
SEA vs LAA (RL-1.5 -110)
2.20 U to Win 2.00 U
10-7
Lost
1
4
.200
-2.20 U
-8.65 U
-
THU JUL 30th
CHC vs CIN (ML-113)
1.13 U to Win 1.00 U
-
PPD
1
4
.200
+0.00 U
-8.65 U
6
FRI JUL 31st
CIN (RL-1.5 -115) vs DET
1.15 U to Win 1.00 U
2-7
Lost
1
5
.166
-1.15 U
-9.80 U
7
SAT AUG 1st
HOU vs LAA (RL+1.5 EV)
1.00 U to Win 1.00 U
4-5
Won
2
5
.285
+1.00 U
-8.80 U
8
SUN AUG 2nd
OAK (RL-1.5 -105) vs SEA
1.05 U to Win 1.00 U
3-2
Lost
2
6 
.250
-1.05 U
-9.85 U
9
MON AUG 3rd
CLE vs CIN (RL-1.5 +140)
1.00 U to Win 1.40 U
2-3
Lost
2 
7 
.222
-1.00 U
-10.85 U
10
TUE AUG 4th
PIT vs MIN (RL-1.5 -130)
1.30 U to Win 1.00 U
3-7
Won
3
7
.300
+1.00 U
-9.85 U
11
TUE AUG 4th
SF vs COL (RL-1.5 -105)
1.05 U to Win 1.00 U
2-5
Won
4
7 
.363
+1.05 U
-8.80 U
12
TUE AUG 4th
TX vs OAK (RL-1.5 +125) 
1.00 U to Win 1.25 U
1-5
Won
7 
.416
+1.25 U
-7.55 U
13
WED AUG 5th
PHI vs NYY (RL-1.5 +160)
1.00 U to Win 1.60 U
11-7
Lost
5 
8 
.384
-1.00 U
-8.55 U
14
THU AUG 6th
MIN (RL-1.5 -145) vs PIT
1.40 U to Win 1.00 U
5-6
Lost
5
9
.357
-1.40 U
-9.95 U
15
FRI AUG 7th
COL Tm TOT (Over 4.5 +105)
1.00 U to Win 1.05 U
8-4
Won
6
9
.400
+1.05 U
-8.90 U
16
SAT AUG 8th
COL Tm TOT (Over 4.5 -115)
1.15 U to Win 1.00 U
5-0
Won
7
9
.437
+1.00 U
-7.90 U
17
SUN AUG 9th
MIA vs NYM (RL-1.5 -120)
1.20 U to Win 1.00 U
2-4
Won
8
9
.470
+1.00 U
-6.90 U
18
MON AUG 10th
SEA vs TX (RL-1.5 +115)
1.00 U to Win 1.15 U
10-2
Lost
8
10
.444
-1.00 U
-7.90 U
19
TUE AUG 11th
MIA vs TOR (RL-1.5 +120)
1.00 U to Win 1.20 U
4-5
Lost
8
11
.421
-1.00 U
-8.90 U
20
TUE AUG 11th
BAL vs PHI (RL-1.5 -110)
1.10 U to Win 1.00 U
10-9
Lost
8
12
.400
-1.10 U
-10.00 U
21
TUE AUG 11th
ARZ vs COL (ML-106)
1.06 U to Win 1.00 U
7-8
Won
9
12
.428
+1.00 U
-9.00 U
22
TUE AUG 11th
SEA (ML+120) vs TX
1.00 U to Win 1.20 U
2-4
Lost
9
13
.409
-1.00 U
-10.00 U
23
WED AUG 12th
SF vs HOU (RL-1.5 Even)
1.00 U to Win 1.00 U
1-5
Won
10
13
.434
+1.00 U
-9.00 U
24
THU AUG 13th
TB (RL-1.5 -105) vs BOS
1.05 U to Win 1.00 U
17-8
Won
11
13
.458
+1.00 U
-8.00 U
25
FRI AUG 14th
SEA vs HOU (RL-1.5 -105)
1.05 U to Win 1.00 U
1-11
Won
12
13
.480
+1.00 U
-7.00 U
26
FRI AUG 14th
TB (RL-1.5 -110) vs TOR
1.10 U to Win 1.00 U
4-12
Lost
12
14
.461
-1.10 U
-8.10 U
27
FRI AUG 14th
PIT vs CIN (RL-1.5 -110)
1.10 U to Win 1.00 U
1-8
Won
13 
14
.481
+1.00 U
-7.10 U
28
SAT AUG 15th
SEA vs HOU (AL-2.5 +140)
1.00 U to Win 1.40 U
1-2
Lost
13
15
.464
-1.00 U
-8.10 U
29
SUN AUG 16th
MIN (RL-1.5 -110) vs KC
1.10 U to Win 1.00 U
4-2
Won
14
15
.482
+1.00 U
-7.10 U
30
MON AUG 17th
KC vs MIN (RL-1.5 +120)
1.00 U to Win 1.20 U
1-4
Won
15
15 
.500
+1.20 U
-5.90 U
31
TUE AUG 18th
COL vs HOU (RL-1.5 -110)
1.10 U to Win 1.00 U
1-2
Lost
15
16
.483
-1.10 U
-7.00 U
32
TUE AUG 18th
DET vs CHW (RL-1.5 Even)
1.00 U to Win 1.00 U
4-10
Won
16
16
.500
+1.00 U
-6.00 U
33
TUE AUG 18th
PHI (ML-123) vs BOS
1.23 U to Win 1.00 U
13-6
Won
17
16
.515
+1.00 U
-5.00 U
34
TUE AUG 18th
CLE (RL-1.5 -130) vs PIT
1.30 U to Win 1.00 U
6-3
Won
18
16
.529
+1.00 U
-4.00 U
35
WED AUG 19th
TX vs SD (Under 7.5 -105)
2.10 U to Win 2.00 U
3-6
Lost
18
17
.514
-2.10 U
-6.10 U
36
THU AUG 20th
LAA vs SF (RL-1.5 +165)
1.00 U to Win 1.65 U
5-10
Won
19
17
.527
+1.65 U
-4.45 U
37
FRI AUG 21st
MIA vs WSH (RL-1.5 -105)
1.05 U to Win 1.00 U
3-2
Lost
19
18
.513
-1.05 U
-5.50 U
38
SAT AUG 22nd
ARZ (RL-1.5 -110) vs SF
1.10 U to Win 1.00 U
1-5
Lost
19
19
.500
-1.10 U
-6.60 U
39
SUN AUG 23rd
LAA vs OAK (RL-1.5 +145)
2.00 U to Win 2.90 U
4-5
Lost
19
20
.487
-2.00 U
-8.60 U
40
MON AUG 24th
OAK vs TX (Under 7.5 -115)
2.30 U to Win 2.00 U
2-3
Won
20
20
.500
+2.00 U
-6.60 U
41
TUE AUG 25th
LAA vs HOU (RL-1.5 +135)
2.00 U to Win 2.70 U
3-6
Won
21
20
.512
+2.70 U
-3.90 U
42
TUE AUG 25th 
BOS vs TOR (RL-1.5 +135)
1.00 U to Win 1.35 U
9-7
Lost
21
21
.500
-1.00 U
-4.90 U
43
TUE AUG 25th
CHC (RL-1.5 Even) vs DET
1.00 U to Win 1.00 U
1-7
Lost
21
22
.488
-1.00 U
-5.90 U
--
THU AUG 27th
BOS vs TOR (RL-1.5 -110)
1.10 U to Win 1.00 U
 -
PPD
21
22
.488
+0.00 U
-5.90 U
--
FRI AUG 28th
MIN (RL-1.5 -115) vs DET
1.15 U to Win 1.00 U
 -
PPD
21
22
.488
+0.00 U
-5.90 U
44
SAT AUG 29th
KC vs CWS (RL-1.5 +110)
2.00 U to Win 2.20 U
9-6
Lost
21
23
.477
-2.00 U
-7.90 U
45
SUN AUG 30th
KC vs CWS (RL-1.5 -115)
1.15 U to Win 1.00 U
2-5
Won
22
23
.488
+1.00 U
-6.90 U
46
MON AUG 31st
MIA vs NYM (RL-1.5 -125)
2.50 U to Win 2.00 U
5-3
Lost
22
24
.478
-2.50 U
-9.40 U
47
TUE SEP 1st
StL vs CIN (Under 8.5 Even)
1.00 U to Win 1.00 U
16-2
Lost
22
25
.468
-1.00 U
-10.40 U
48
THU SEP 3rd
WSH vs PHI (RL-1.5 +110)
1.00 U to Win 1.10 U
5-6
Lost
22
26
.458
-1.00 U
-11.40 U
49
FRI SEP 4th
DET vs MIN (RL-1.5 +135)
2.00 U to Win 2.70 U
0-2
Won
23
26
.469
+2.70 U
-8.70 U
50
SAT SEP 5th
StL (ML-101) vs CHC
1.01 U to Win 1.00 U
4-2
Won
24
26
.480
+1.00 U
-7.70 U
51
SUN SEP 6th
SD vs OAK (Over 10.5 -115)
1.15 U to Win 1.00 U
5-3
Lost
24
27
.470
-1.15 U
-8.85 U
52
MON SEP 7th
TX vs SEA (RL-1.5 +135)
1.00 U to Win 1.35 U
4-8
Won
25
27
.480
+1.35 U
-7.50 U
53
TUE SEP 8th
StL vs MIN (Over 6.5 -120)
1.20 U to Win 1.00 U
3-7
Won
26
27
.490
+1.00 U
-6.50 U
54
WED SEP 9th
COL vs SD (RL-1.5 +105)
1.00 U to Win 1.05 U
3-5
Won
27
27
.500
+1.05 U
-5.45 U
55
THU SEP 10th
HOU vs OAK (RL-1.5 +135)
2.00 U to Win 2.70 U
1-3
Won
28
27
.509
+2.70 U
-2.75 U
56
FRI SEP 11th
CIN vs StL (ML+104)
1.00 U to Win 1.04 U
3-1
Lost
28
28
.500
-1.00 U
-3.75 U
57
SAT SEP 12th
CIN vs StL (RL-1.5 +135)
2.00 U to Win 2.70 U
1-7
Won
29
28
.508
+2.70 U
-1.05 U
58
SUN SEP 13th
SEA (ML+130) vs ARZ 
1.00 U to Win 1.30 U
7-3
Won
30
28
.517
+1.30 U
+0.25 U
59
TUE SEP 15th
WSH vs TB (RL-1.5 -105)
1.05 U to Win 1.00 U
1-6
Won
31
28
.525
+1.00 U
+1.25 U
60
TUE SEP 15th
BOS vs MIA (RL-1.5 +120)
1.00 U to Win 1.20 U
2-0
Lost
31
29
.516
-1.00 U
+0.25 U
--
TUE SEP 15th
KC (ML-103) vs DET
1.03 U to Win 1.00 U
  -
SCR
31
29
.516
+0.00 U
+0.25 U
61
TUE SEP 15th
TX vs HOU (RL-1.5 +105)
1.00 U to Win 1.05 U
1-4
Won
32
29
.524
+1.05 U
+1.30 U
62
TUE SEP 15th
OAK (RL-1.5 -115) vs COL
1.15 U to Win 1.00 U
1-3
Lost
32
30
.516
-1.15 U
+0.15 U
63
TUE SEP 15th
LAD vs SD (ML+115)
1.00 U to Win 1.15 U
3-1
Lost
32
31
.507
-1.00 U
-0.85 U
64
WED SEP 16th
WSH vs TB (RL-1.5 +110)
1.00 U to Win 1.10 U
4-2
Lost
32
32
.500
-1.00 U
-1.85 U
65
THU SEP 17th 
TX vs HOU (RL-1.5 -130)
1.30 U to Win 1.00 U
1-2
Lost
32
33
.492
-1.30 U
-3.15 U
66
FRI SEP 18th
ARZ vs HOU (Under 8 -115)
1.15 U to Win 1.00 U
6-3
Lost
32
34
.484
-1.15 U
-4.30 U
67
SAT SEP 19th
StL (RL-1.5 -105) vs PIT
1.05 U to Win 1.00 U
5-4
Lost
32
35
.477
-1.05 U
-5.35 U
68
SUN SEP 20th
ML Parlay (CLE/NYY/SD/TB)
1.00 U to Win 4.07 U
2/4
Lost
32
36
.470
-1.00 U
-6.35 U
69
SUN SEP 20th
RL Parlay (StL/OAK)
1.50 U to Win 4.95 U
0/2
Lost
32
37
.463
-1.50 U
-7.85 U
70
MON SEP 21st
HOU vs SEA (Under 8 -110)
2.20 U to Win 2.00 U
1-6
Won
33
37
.471
+2.00 U
-5.85 U
71
TUE SEP 22nd
MIA vs ATL (RL-1.5 +120)
1.00 U to Win 1.20 U
1-11  
Won
34
37
.478
+1.20 U
-4.65 U
72
WED SEP 23rd
PHI vs WSH (ML+125)
1.00 U to Win 1.25 U
12-3
Lost
34
38
.472
-1.00 U
-5.65 U
73
THU SEP 24th
COL vs SF (TT Over 5.5 Even) 
2.00 U to Win 2.00 U
5-4
Lost
34
39
.465
-2.00 U
-7.65 U
74
FRI SEP 25th 
SEA vs OAK (RL-1.5 -105)
5.25 U to Win 5.00 U
1-3
Won
35
39
.472
+5.00 U
-2.65 U
75
SAT SEP 26th
NYM (ML-145) vs WSH
1.45 U to Win 1.00 U
3-4
Lost
35
40
.466
-1.45 U
-4.10 U
76
SUN SEP 27th
HOU vs TX (ML+115)
2.00 U to Win 2.30 U
4-8
Won
36
40
.473
+2.30 U
-1.80 U
77
SUN SEP 27th
SEA (ML+114) vs OAK
2.00 U to Win 2.28 U
2-6
Lost
36
41
.467
-2.00 U
-3.80 U

End of Regular Season:  Sunday, September 27th, 2020 @ 4:30 pm PST • What, you think this easy?

 

NEW  UNDER CONSTRUCTION  Season Analysis

Tuesday, October 13th, 2020 @ 9:45 am PST  Over the next week or so we're gonna take an ad hoc look back at the 2020 MLB regular season and analyze what we did - for better or worse.  Every investment is a learning experience.  Sometimes we learn the easy way and sometimes the hard way.


NOTE:  Be patient, we're adding information as we find time...


Overview:  XP Sports ended the regular season winning 46.7% of the time and down 3.80 Units (that's -$38.00 in our system, where each Unit equals $10.00).  We of course would have preferred to end up with a profit, but sometimes you win and sometimes you lose in sports investing.  This was our first losing season (see archives below).  As it relates to entertainment, we had a lot of fun.  For only $38.00 we enjoyed countless hours the entire season.  You could pay more than that going to Carl's Jr. and getting a couple Monster Burgers and two side orders and drinks.


Challenging Season:  Given the pandemic, it's an understatement to point out this was a different season, obviously cut short with games played with piped-in cheering in front of cardboard fans and every day players (and all of us) not knowing if that would be their last.


Off to a bad start:  The first 9 games (July 25th - August 3rd):  We had high hopes entering this season (like everyone does entering every season). We decided we were going to get off to a hot start and we went for the gold right off, wagering more than our usual 1 unit in four of the first five games. We lost all four of those games and were down 8.65 Units after only five games.  After 9 games we were already down 10.85 Units, thus, we spent most of the rest of the season trying to dig ourselves out of the hole we had dug for ourselves.  Unfortunately, you can't just "decide" you are gonna get off to a hot start.


Parlays:  We know better than to enjoy the brief thrill of parlays, yet on September 20th, we, um, enjoyed two of them.  I guess we were feeling lucky or maybe we were thinking the possible payoff would get us back to Even or something but as expected, we did not hit either of them and lost 2.50 Units in the process.  If we would've held off on these two parlays we would've only lost $13.00 for the entire season.  Just say no to parlays.


Runlines:  In general, we've always preferred Runlines over Moneylines.  We hate laying a lot of juice on a big favorite to win the game when we can get better, even plus odds, on the Runline.  The risk is that, instead of having to just win the game, the team has to win by >2 runs.  Way back, when I was first getting started enjoying sports investing, I would bet the big favorites but it didn't take long for me to feel the pain when a -200 favorite lost the game and it would take two or more winning wagers just to get back to Even.  So let's take a look at how we did on Runlines (note, give me some time to add up these calculations - info coming soon).


Runlines:  Total Won:  TBD  Total Lost:  TBD  Net Units:  TBD  Risked to Win:  TBD  ROI:  TBD.


Moneylines:  More information coming when we find the time.


Totals:  We placed 10 wagers on the total.  2 Overs (W1, L1);  5 Unders (W2, L3); 3 Team Totals (W2, L1).  In sum, we were 5-5 on totals.  (Units TBD).


Alternate Lines:  On Saturday, August 15th we strongly felt HOU would demolish SEA so we placed the AL+2.5 and the 2-1 game resulted in a loss of 1.00 Units.  That's what happens when you invest based on feelings.


Winning Streak:  Our best winning streak was four-in-a-row (from September 7th-10th).  Our most productive stretch was from September 4th-15th, when we won 10 of 13, putting us at +1.25 Net Units at that time.  We had 6 winning streaks of 3 or more games.


Losing Streaks:  As previously mentioned we got off to a bad start, losing 7 of our first 9 wagers and we were already down $108.50.  But we didn't give up, baby!  This motivated us to ride out the 2020 MLB storm all the way to the end.  After spending the entire season striving to get back to Even, we finally accomplished that feat on September 15th when we reached the high point of +1.25 Units.  We thought we were on our way to a huge finish but then, all of a sudden, out of nowhere, completely unexpected, came a f-----g 8-game losing streak.  We had five losing steaks of 3 or more games.


Big Hits:  On Friday, September 25th, we placed and won our only 5-Star Pick of the season.  They made us sweat but OAK finally edged SEA 3-1.  We hit a 2-Star Pick on the next to last day of the season riding TX over HOU.  We should've stopped there as we gave most of it back the next day.  You gotta know when to fold them.


More updates and analysis coming soon...

 

ARCHIVED:  XP's Daily MLB FREE Picks

All of XP's past Daily FREE MLB Picks are documented right here.  Over the past two seasons we are +53.80 Units!
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In XP's System, 1 Unit = $10.00  •  ROI Formula:  Total Units Won/Total Units Invested

We've done pretty good the past two MLB seasons and we're looking to get even better every day during the 2020 season, baby!