Home of XP's FREE Daily MLB Picks!
Tuesday's ASG Pick: NL vs. AL (RL-1½ +175)*
Posted: Sunday, July 15th, 2018 @ 6:05 p.m. PST Good luck!
*NOTE: The pick is ½-Unit... We're just having fun here!
Due to the All-Star Game and break this week, there will obviously be no picks on Monday and Wednesday. XP is going with the AL on the RL for the FREE MLB All-Star Game Pick. With only one game on the schedule for Thursday, XP hasn't yet decided if there will be a pick on that day. Picks will for sure resume on Friday as we get started on the stretch run to the playoffs! Have a great week and see you soon!
XP Sports is currently +16.94 Units • Scroll Down for all Results & Documentation
NOTE: New format starting 7/6/18:
# Date XP's FREE Pick V/H Risk to Win Result W-L Pct. Net
105 TUE JUL 17 NL vs AL (RL-1.5 +175) Risk $5.00 to Win $8.75 Pending
104 SUN JUL 15 KC vs CWS (RL-1.5 +167) 10-1 Risk $10.00 to Win $16.70 Won 53-51 .509 +$169.40
103 SAT JUL 14 MIL (ML-1.5 +110) vs PIT 2-6 Risk $10.00 to Win $11.00 Lost 52-51 .504 +$152.70
102 SAT JUL 14 MIL (RL-1.5 +140) vs PIT 1-2 Risk $10.00 to Win $14.00 Lost 52-50 .509 +$162.70
101 FRI JUL 13 MIL (RL-1.5 +140) vs PIT 3-7 Risk $10.00 to Win $14.00 Lost 52-49 .514 +$172.70
100 THU JUL 12 OAK (ML +190) vs HOU 6-4 Risk $10.00 to Win $19.00 Won 52-48 .520 +$182.70
99 WED JUL 11 OAK (ML +205) vs HOU 8-3 Risk $10.00 to Win $20.50 Won 51-48 .515 +$163.70
98 TUE JUL 10 OAK (ML +200) vs HOU 5-6 Risk $10.00 to Win $20.00 Lost 50-48 .510 +$143.20
97 MON JUL 9 OAK (ML +205) vs HOU 2-0 Risk $10.00 to Win $20.50 Won 50-47 .515 +$153.20
96 SUN JUL 8 SD vs ARZ (RL-1.5 +100) 4-3 Risk $10.00 to Win $10.00 Lost 49-47 .510 +$132.70
95 SAT JUL 7 COL vs SEA (RL-1.5 +120) 5-1 Risk $10.00 to Win $12.00 Lost 49-46 .515 +$142.70
94 FRI JUL 6 SD vs ARZ (RL-1.5 +155) 1-3 Risk $10.00 to Win $15.50 Won 49-45 .521 +$152.70
All of XP's Past FREE Picks are documented right here!
|#||Date||XP's FREE Pick||V/H||Risk||Result||Strk||W-L||Pct.||Net +/-|
|93||WED JUL 4th||SD vs. OAK (RL-1½ +130)||2-4||Risk $10.00 to Win $13.00||Won||W1||48-45||.516||+$137.20|
|92||TUE JUL 3rd||CWS vs. CIN (RL-1½ -105)||12-8||Risk $10.50 to Win $10.00||Lost||L3||47-45||.510||+$124.20|
|91||MON JUL 2nd||MIN vs. MIL (RL-1½ +155)||5-6||Risk $10.00 to Win $15.50||Lost||L2||47-44||.516||+$134.70|
|90||SUN JUL 1st||CWS vs. TX (RL-1½ +125)||10-5||Risk $10.00 to Win $12.50||Lost||L1||47-43||.522||+$144.70|
|89||SAT JUN 30th||KC vs. SEA (RL-1½ -109)||4-6||Risk $10.90 to Win $10.00||Won||W2||47-42||.528||+$154.70|
|88||FRI JUN 29th||KC vs. SEA (RL-1½ +100)||1-4||Risk $10.00 to Win $10.00||Won||W1||46-42||.522||+$144.70|
|87||THU JUN 28th||MIN (RL-1½ +120) vs. CWS||2-1||Risk $10.00 to Win $12.00||Lost||L2||45-42||.517||+$134.70|
|86||WED JUN 27th||KC vs. MIL (RL-1½ +105)||5-4||Risk $10.00 to Win $10.50||Lost||L1||45-41||.523||+$144.70|
|85||TUE JUN 26th||OAK (RL-1½ +145) vs. DET||9-7||Risk $10.00 to Win $14.50||Won||W3||45-40||.529||+$154.70|
|84||MON JUN 25th||SD vs. TX (RL-1½ +130)||4-7||Risk $10.00 to Win $13.00||Won||W2||44-40||.523||+$140.20|
|83||SUN JUN 24th||BAL vs. ATL (Over 9½ +105)||3-7||Risk $10.00 to Win $10.50||Won||W1||43-40||.518||+$127.20|
|82||SAT JUN 23rd||TX vs. MIN (RL-1½ +154)||9-6||Risk $10.00 to Win $15.40||Lost||L4||42-40||.512||+$116.70|
|81||SUN JUN 17th||NYM vs. ARZ (RL-1½ +167)||5-3||Risk $10.00 to Win $16.70||Lost||L3||42-39||.518||+$126.70|
|80||SAT JUN 16th||SD vs. ATL (RL-1½ +120)||0-1||Risk $10.00 to Win $12.00||Lost||L2||42-38||.525||+$136.70|
|79||FRI JUN 15th||BOS vs. SEA (RL-1½ +160)||6-7||Risk $10.00 to Win $16.00||Lost||L1||42-37||.531||+$146.70|
|78||THU JUN 14th||NYM vs. ATL (RL-1½ +190)||3-6||Risk $10.00 to Win $19.00||Won||W1||42-36||.538||+$156.70|
|77||WED JUN 13th||TX vs. LAD (RL-1½ +125)||2-3||Risk $10.00 to Win $12.50||Lost||L1||41-36||.532||+$137.70|
|76||TUE JUN 12th||NYM vs. ATL (RL-1½ +145)||2-8||Risk $10.00 to Win $14.50||Won||W2||41-35||.539||+$147.70|
|75||MON JUN 11th||BOS (RL-1½ +135) vs. BAL||2-0||Risk $10.00 to Win $13.50||Won||W1||40-35||.533||+$133.20|
|74||SUN JUN 10th||KC vs. OAK (RL-1½ +135)||2-3||Risk $10.00 to Win $13.50||Lost||L1||39-35||.527||+$119.70|
|73||SAT JUN 9th||SF vs. WSH (RL-1½ +135)||5-7||Risk $10.00 to Win $13.50||Won||W3||39-34||.534||+$129.70|
|72||FRI JUN 8th||KC vs. OAK (RL-1½ +160)||2-7||Risk $10.00 to Win $16.00||Won||W2||38-34||.527||+$116.20|
|71||THU JUN 7th||KC vs. OAK (RL-1½ +135)||1-4||Risk $10.00 to Win $13.50||Won||W1||37-34||.521||+$100.20|
|70||WED JUN 6th||OAK (RL-1½ +130) vs. TX||2-8||Risk $10.00 to Win $13.00||Lost||L2||36-34||.514||+$86.70|
|69||TUE JUN 5th||BAL vs. NYM (RL-1½ +175)||2-1||Risk $10.00 to Win $17.50||Lost||L1||36-33||.521||+$96.70|
|68||MON JUN 4th||KC vs. LAA (RL-1½ +115)||6-9||Risk $10.00 to Win $11.50||Won||W1||36-32||.529||+$106.70|
|67||SUN JUN 3rd||MIL (RL-1½ +100) vs. CHW||1-6||Risk $10.00 to Win $10.00||Lost||L1||35-32||.522||+$95.20|
|66||SAT JUN 2nd||MIL (RL-1½ +112) vs. CHW||5-0||Risk $10.00 to Win $11.20||Won||W2||35-31||.530||+$105.20|
|65||FRI JUN 1st||OAK (RL-1½ +125) vs. KC||16-0||Risk $10.00 to Win $12.50||Won||W1||34-31||.523||+$94.00|
|64||THU MAY 31st||TB vs. OAK (Under 7½ -105)||3-7||Risk $10.50 to Win $10.00||Lost||L2||33-31||.515||+$81.50|
|63||WED MAY 30th||SF vs. COL (RL-1½ +115)||7-4||Risk $10.00 to Win $11.50||Lost||L1||33-30||.523||+$92.00|
|62||TUE MAY 29th||SF vs. COL (RL-1½ +140)||4-11||Risk $10.00 to Win $14.00||Won||W4||33-29||.532||+$102.00|
|61||MON MAY 28th||CIN vs. ARZ (RL-1½ +145)||5-12||Risk $10.00 to Win $14.50||Won||W3||32-29||.524||+$88.00|
|60||SUN MAY 27th||StL (ML +105) vs. PIT||6-4||Risk $10.00 to Win $10.50||Won||W2||31-29||.516||+$73.50|
|59||SAT MAY 26th||NYM vs. MIL (RL-1½ +150)||6-17||Risk $10.00 to Win $15.00||Won||W1||30-29||.508||+$63.00|
|58||FRI MAY 25th||CIN vs. COL (RL-1½ -105)||4-5||Risk $10.50 to Win $10.00||Lost||L2||29-29||.500||+$48.00|
|57||THU MAY 24th||HOU vs. CLE (Under 8 -110)||8-2||Risk $11.00 to Win $10.00||Lost||L1||29-28||.508||+$58.50|
|56||WED MAY 23rd||ARZ vs. MIL (Over 8½ +105)||2-9||Risk $10.00 to Win $10.50||Won||W1||29-27||.517||+$69.50|
|55||TUE MAY 22nd||KC vs. StL (RL-1½ +100)||5-1||Risk $10.00 to Win $10.00||Lost||L1||28-27||.509||+$59.00|
|54||MON MAY 21st||KC vs. StL (RL-1½ +100)||0-6||Risk $10.00 to Win $10.00||Won||W3||28-26||.518||+$69.00|
|53||SUN MAY 20th||OAK (RL-1½ +150) vs. TOR||9-2||Risk $10.00 to Win $15.00||Won||W2||27-26||.509||+$59.00|
|52||SAT MAY 19th||MIA vs. ATL (RL-1½ -105)||1-8||Risk $10.50 to Win $10.00||Won||W1||26-26||.500||+$44.00|
|51||FRI MAY 18th||BAL vs. BOS (RL-1½ +115)||7-4||Risk $10.00 to Win $11.50||Lost||L2||25-26||.490||+$34.00|
|50||THU MAY 17th||SD vs. PIT (RL-1½ +137)||5-4||Risk $10.00 to Win $13.70||Lost||L1||25-25||.500||+$44.00|
|49||WED MAY 16th||PHI vs. BAL (RL-1½ +155)||4-1||Risk $10.00 to Win $15.50||Won||W2||25-24||.510||+$54.00|
|48||TUE MAY 15th||CWS vs. PIT (RL-1½ +150)||0-7||Risk $10.00 to Win $15.00||Won||W1||24-24||.500||+$38.50|
|47||MON MAY 14th||COL vs. SD (Under 7 +100)||6-4||Risk $10.00 to Win $10.00||Lost||L2||23-24||.489||+$23.50|
|46||SUN MAY 13th||ATL (RL-1½ +125) vs. MIA||4-3||Risk $10.00 to Win $12.50||Lost||L1||23-23||.500||+$33.50|
|45||SAT MAY 12th||ATL (RL-1½ +125) vs. MIA||10-5||Risk $10.00 to Win $12.50||Won||W1||23-22||.511||+$43.50|
|44||FRI MAY 11th||MIN vs. LAA (RL-1½ +115)||5-4||Risk $10.00 to Win $11.50||Lost||L3||22-22||.500||+$31.00|
|43||THU MAY 10th||StL (RL-1½ +107) vs. SD||2-1||Risk $10.00 to Win $10.70||Lost||L2||22-21||.511||+$41.00|
|42||WED MAY 9th||PIT (RL-1½ +145) vs. CWS||6-5||Risk $10.00 to Win $14.50||Lost||L1||22-20||.523||+$51.00|
|41||TUE MAY 8th||PIT (RL-1½ +115) vs. CWS||10-6||Risk $10.00 to Win $11.50||Won||W2||22-19||.536||+$61.00|
|40||MON MAY 7th||SF vs. PHI (Over 9 +100)||0-11||Risk $10.00 to Win $10.00||Won||W1||21-19||.525||+$49.50|
|39||SUN MAY 6th||BAL vs. OAK (RL-1½ +125)||1-2||Risk $10.00 to Win $12.50||Lost||L1||20-19||.513||+$39.50|
|38||SAT MAY 5th||BAL vs. OAK (RL-1½ +145)||0-2||Risk $10.00 to Win $14.50||Won||W3||20-18||.526||+$49.50|
|37||FRI MAY 4th||BAL vs. OAK (RL-1½ +135)||4-6||Risk $10.00 to Win $13.50||Won||W2||19-18||.513||+$35.00|
|36||THU MAY 3rd||BAL vs. LAA (RL-1½ +110)||3-12||Risk $10.00 to Win $11.00||Won||W1||18-18||.500||+$21.50|
|35||WED MAY 2nd||CWS vs. StL (RL-1½ -125)||2-3||Risk #12.50 to Win $10.00||Lost||L3||17-18||.485||+$10.50|
|34||TUE MAY 1st||MIL (RL-1½ +145) vs. CIN||7-6||Risk $10.00 to Win $14.50||Lost||L2||17-17||.500||+$23.00|
|33||MON APR 30th||NYY vs. HOU (RL-1½ +135)||1-2||Risk $10.00 to Win $13.50||Lost||L1||17-16||.515||+$33.00|
|32||SUN APR 29th||TX vs. TOR (RL-1½ -110)||2-7||Risk $11.00 to Win $10.00||Won||W1||17-15||.531||+$43.00|
|31||SAT APR 28th||OAK (ML +196) vs. HOU||0-11||Risk $10.00 to Win $19.60||Lost||L3||16-15||.516||+$33.00|
|30||FRI APR 27th||StL (RL-1½ +130) vs. PIT||5-6||Risk $10.00 to Win $13.00||Lost||L2||16-14||.533||+$43.00|
|29||THU APR 26th||SEA vs. CLE (RL-1½ +195)||5-4||Risk $10.00 to Win $19.50||Lost||L1||16-13||.551||+$53.00|
|28||WED APR 25th||NYM vs. StL (RL-1½ +150)||1-9||Risk $10.00 to Win $15.00||Won||W1||16-12||.571||+$63.00|
|27||TUE APR 24th||LAA vs. HOU (RL-1½ +150)||8-7||Risk $10.00 to Win $15.00||Lost||L2||15-12||.555||+$48.00|
|26||MON APR 23rd||SD vs. COL (RL-1½ +112)||13-6||Risk $10.00 to Win $11.20||Lost||L1||15-11||.577||+$58.00|
|25||SUN APR 22nd||MIA vs. MIL (RL-1½ +106)||2-4||Risk $10.00 to Win $10.60||Won||W1||15-10||.600||+$68.00|
|24||SAT APR 21st||MIA vs. MIL (RL-1½ +130)||5-6||Risk $10.00 to Win $13.00||Lost||L1||14-10||.583||+$57.40|
|23||FRI APR 20th||MIA vs. MIL (RL-1½ +130)||0-8||Risk $10.00 to Win $13.00||Won||W5||14-9||.608||+$67.40|
|22||THU APR 19th||MIA vs. MIL (RL-1½ +110)||3-12||Risk $10.00 to Win $11.00||Won||W4||13-9||.590||+$54.40|
|21||WED APR 18th||CIN vs. MIL (RL-1½ +150)||0-2||Risk $10.00 to Win $15.00||Won||W3||12-9||.571||+$43.40|
|20||TUE APR 17th||KC vs. TOR (RL-1½ -115)||3-11||Risk $11.50 to Win $10.00||Won||W2||11-9||.550||+$28.40|
|19||MON APR 16th||CHW vs. OAK (RL-1½ +150)||1-8||Risk $10.00 to Win $15.00||Won||W1||10-9||.526||+$18.40|
|18||SUN APR 15th||7-Team ML Parlay (+1262)||-0-||Risk $10.00 to Win $126.28||Lost||L2||9-9||.500||+$3.40|
|17||SAT APR 14th||PIT (RL-1½ +105) vs. MIA||1-0||Risk $10.00 to Win $10.50||Lost||L1||9-8||.529||+$13.40|
|16||FRI APR 13th||StL (RL-1½ +107) vs. CIN||5-3||Risk $10.00 to Win $10.70||Won||W1||9-7||.563||+$23.40|
|15||THU APR 12th||DET vs. CLE (Under 8 +105)||3-9||Risk $10.00 to Win $10.50||Lost||L1||8-7||.533||+$12.70|
|14||WED APR 11th||LAA (ML+102) vs. TX||7-2||Risk $10.00 to Win $10.20||Won||W1||8-6||.571||+$22.70|
|13||TUE APR 10th||OAK (ML +115) vs. LAD||0-4||Risk $10.00 to Win $11.50||Lost||L2||7-6||.538||+$12.50|
|12||MON APR 9th||CIN vs. PHI (RL-1½ +155)||5-6||Risk $10.00 to Win $15.50||Lost||L1||7-5||.583||+$22.50|
|11||SUN APR 8th||KC vs. CLE (RL-1½ -110)||1-3||Risk $11.00 to Win $10.00||Won||W1||7-4||.636||+$32.50|
|10||SAT APR 7th||MIA (ML+145) vs.PHI||1-20||Risk $10.00 to Win $14.50||Lost||L1||6-4||.600||+$22.50|
|9||FRI APR 6th||CIN vs. PIT (ML+100)||3-14||Risk $10.00 to Win $10.00||Won||W1||6-3||.666||+$32.50|
|8||THU APR 5th||TX vs. OAK (RL-1½ +145)||6-5||Risk $10.00 to Win $14.50||Lost||L2||5-3||.625||+$22.50|
|7||WED APR 4th||WSH (RL-1½ -140) vs. MIA||1-7||Risk $14.00 to Win $10.00||Lost||L1||5-2||.714||+$32.50|
|6||TUE APR 3rd||BOS (RL-1½ -140) vs. MIA||4-2||Risk $14.00 to Win $10.00||Won||W5||5-1||.833||+$46.50|
|5||MON APR 2nd||CWS vs. TOR (RL-1½ +125)||2-4||Risk $10.00 to Win $12.50||Won||W4||4-1||.800||+$36.50|
|4||SUN APR 1st||LAA vs. OAK (Over 8½ -114)||7-4||Risk $11.40 to Win $10.00||Won||W3||3-1||.750||+$24.00|
|3||SAT MAR 31st||MIN (RL-1½ +140) vs. BAL||6-2||Risk $10.00 to Win $14.00||Won||W2||2-1||.666||+$14.00|
|2||FRI MAR 30th||WSH (RL-1½ -115) vs. CIN||2-0||Risk $11.50 to Win $10.00||Won||W1||1-1||.500||Even|
|1||THU MAR 29th||StL (ML+121) vs. NYM||4-9||Risk $10.00 to Win $12.10||Lost||L1||0-1||.000||-$10.00|
Analysis per Wager Type (Current Through 104 Games):
|Wager Type||W||L||.Pct||Risk||to Win||Net (+/-)||Units (u)|
|Runline (-1½) Home Dogs (+Odds)||27||25||.519||$520.00||$708.30||+$121.30||+12.13u|
|Runline (-1½) Visitor Dogs (+Odds)||9||12||..429||$210.00||$265.00||+$5.40||+.54u|
|Runline (-1½) Home Favorites (-Odds)||4||3||.571||$97.50||$70.00||+$6.50||+.65u|
|Runline (-1½) Visitor Favorites (-Odds)||3||1||.750||$50.40||$40.00||+$16.00||+1.6u|
|Moneyline Favorites (-Odds)||0||0||.000||$0.00||$0.00||+$0.00||+0u|
|Moneyline Dogs (-Odds)||6||5||.545||$110.00||$168.40||+$40.70||+4.07u|
General Form #1: Parenthesis follow the team XP is investing in. In the following example, the first line indicates XP is investing in StL to win. XP is investing in NYM to win on the second line.
StL (ML +120) vs. NYM
StL vs. NYM (ML -120)
With few exceptions, most wagers will be familiar: ML = Moneyline; RL = Runline; and O/U = Over/Under (Totals).
XP uses the best line available at the time of the wager from BetUS, 5Dimes, SportBet, BetPhoenix, and bodog.
General Form #2: XP invests ("risks") 1 unit per pick. Each unit is worth $10.00. You determine the amount assigned to each unit according to your bankroll (i.e., how much you can afford and how confident you are). Obviously everyone is different... some may assign $1.00 per unit, some may assign $10.00 per unit, and others may assign $100.00 per unit, etc., you get the point.
Goal: The goal is to be ahead at the end of the season and maybe even have a little fun during the MLB season.
Don't "follow" me (or anyone for that matter)! The purpose of XP's FREE Picks is to provide for you another resource as you gather information from a variety of resources to collect knowledge as just one small part of your capping duties. If you choos to mindlessly "follow me" (or anyone else) you're being lazy. I don't know if I'm a great capper or a horrible capper - every year is different. I've had some successful seasons and some failing seasons so I guess we won't know until the end of the season. Sometimes I get hot... sometimes I'm cold! Plus, if someone is merely "following" another and there is a cold streak, they for some reason get mad at who they are following. You are responsible for your investments. Good luck!
XP likes underdogs for a lot of reasons, but will still invest in favorites. Ultimately, the investment, no matter what it is, is intended to be a winner, baby!
Bottom line: Success in sports investment is ultimately measured in the total units (+/-) you have. Records and winning percentages don't really count: it's cool to brag that you are 9-1, winning at a 90% clip, but if you're still down 5 units, that is what matters. It's cool to brag that, "I'm hot! I'm on a 7-game winning streak!", but if you're still down 5 units, that is what matters.
Cardinal Rule #1: Never invest more than you are more than happy to lose.
Cardinal Rule #2: Don't bet parlays.
On April 15th, I placed a 7-team parlay, just throwing away money.
Cardinal Rule #3: Don't chase.
On July 14th, I chased hoping MIL could take the second game of the doubleheader, losing two units instead of one.
Cardinal Rule #4: Don't bet props.
I'm not betting on if a player is gonna be wearing blue or white shoes and I'm not betting on the HR Derby.
Cardinal Rule #5: Recognize trends.
>5 times I won the game on the RL and then went with the same team to win on the RL again the next day (0 for 5).
Cardinal Rule #6: Don't play just for the action.
Okay, by definition, if I'm making a free pick every day, that could be called playing just for the action (but I do cap every game I wager). And I'm gonna be playing the All-Star Game, even though the outcome is basically a coin-flip. Oh well.
Cardinal Rule #7: Increase/decrease wager size as per level of confidence.
There have been several times I've been very confident on certain games (and indeed, those games were winners). In the second half of the season, when I'm feeling it, I'll up the risk and likewise, if I'm picking a game just to be picking a game, I'll decrease the risk.
Maybe I'll provide more info as the season progresses, maybe not.
If you have questions, or want to provide content to this page, contact XP Sports via e-mail.
All picks are, um, just for education and entertainment purposes. Good luck!
Everything about XP's FREE Picks is related to sports investing, not online wagering. Know your local laws regarding this topic.
XP believes online sports wagering should become legal and regulated in the USA, just like it is everywhere else in the world.
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Counter set on January 7th, 2018
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