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Home of XP's FREE Daily MLB Picks!

Tuesday's ASG Pick:  NL vs. AL (RL-1½ +175)*

Posted:  Sunday, July 15th, 2018 @ 6:05 p.m. PST  Good luck!

*NOTE:  The pick is ½-Unit... We're just having fun here!

Due to the All-Star Game and break this week, there will obviously be no picks on Monday and Wednesday.  XP is going with the AL on the RL for the FREE MLB All-Star Game Pick.  With only one game on the schedule for Thursday, XP hasn't yet decided if there will be a pick on that day.  Picks will for sure resume on Friday as we get started on the stretch run to the playoffs!  Have a great week and see you soon!

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Results & Documentation

NOTE: New format starting 7/6/18:

#   Date        XP's FREE Pick            V/H   Risk to Win                Result  W-L    Pct.  Net

105 TUE JUL 17  NL vs AL (RL-1.5 +175)          Risk $5.00 to Win $8.75    Pending                       

104 SUN JUL 15  KC vs CWS (RL-1.5 +167)  10-1   Risk $10.00 to Win $16.70  Won     53-51  .509  +$169.40

103 SAT JUL 14  MIL (ML-1.5 +110) vs PIT  2-6   Risk $10.00 to Win $11.00  Lost    52-51  .504  +$152.70

102 SAT JUL 14  MIL (RL-1.5 +140) vs PIT  1-2   Risk $10.00 to Win $14.00  Lost    52-50  .509  +$162.70

101 FRI JUL 13  MIL (RL-1.5 +140) vs PIT  3-7   Risk $10.00 to Win $14.00  Lost    52-49  .514  +$172.70

100 THU JUL 12  OAK (ML +190) vs HOU      6-4   Risk $10.00 to Win $19.00  Won     52-48  .520  +$182.70

99  WED JUL 11  OAK (ML +205) vs HOU      8-3   Risk $10.00 to Win $20.50  Won     51-48  .515  +$163.70

98  TUE JUL 10  OAK (ML +200) vs HOU      5-6   Risk $10.00 to Win $20.00  Lost    50-48  .510  +$143.20

97  MON JUL 9   OAK (ML +205) vs HOU      2-0   Risk $10.00 to Win $20.50  Won     50-47  .515  +$153.20

96  SUN JUL 8   SD vs ARZ (RL-1.5 +100)   4-3   Risk $10.00 to Win $10.00  Lost    49-47  .510  +$132.70

95  SAT JUL 7   COL vs SEA (RL-1.5 +120)  5-1   Risk $10.00 to Win $12.00  Lost    49-46  .515  +$142.70

94  FRI JUL 6   SD vs ARZ (RL-1.5 +155)   1-3   Risk $10.00 to Win $15.50  Won     49-45  .521  +$152.70 

All of XP's Past FREE Picks are documented right here! 

#DateXP's FREE PickV/HRiskResultStrkW-LPct.Net +/-
93WED JUL 4thSD vs. OAK (RL-1½ +130)2-4Risk $10.00 to Win $13.00WonW148-45.516+$137.20
92TUE JUL 3rdCWS vs. CIN (RL-1½ -105)
12-8Risk $10.50 to Win $10.00LostL347-45.510+$124.20
91MON JUL 2ndMIN vs. MIL (RL-1½ +155)
5-6Risk $10.00 to Win $15.50LostL247-44.516+$134.70
90SUN JUL 1stCWS vs. TX (RL-1½ +125)10-5Risk $10.00 to Win $12.50LostL147-43.522+$144.70
89SAT JUN 30thKC vs. SEA (RL-1½ -109)4-6Risk $10.90 to Win $10.00WonW247-42.528+$154.70
88FRI JUN 29thKC vs. SEA (RL-1½ +100)1-4Risk $10.00 to Win $10.00WonW146-42.522+$144.70
87THU JUN 28thMIN (RL-1½ +120) vs. CWS
2-1Risk $10.00 to Win $12.00LostL245-42.517+$134.70
86WED JUN 27thKC vs. MIL (RL-1½ +105)
5-4Risk $10.00 to Win $10.50LostL145-41.523+$144.70
85TUE JUN 26thOAK (RL-1½ +145) vs. DET
9-7Risk $10.00 to Win $14.50WonW345-40.529+$154.70
84MON JUN 25thSD vs. TX (RL-1½ +130)4-7Risk $10.00 to Win $13.00WonW244-40.523+$140.20
83SUN JUN 24thBAL vs. ATL (Over 9½ +105)3-7Risk $10.00 to Win $10.50WonW143-40.518+$127.20
82SAT JUN 23rdTX vs. MIN (RL-1½ +154)9-6Risk $10.00 to Win $15.40LostL442-40.512+$116.70
81SUN JUN 17thNYM vs. ARZ (RL-1½ +167)5-3Risk $10.00 to Win $16.70LostL342-39.518+$126.70
80SAT JUN 16thSD vs. ATL (RL-1½ +120)0-1Risk $10.00 to Win $12.00LostL242-38.525+$136.70
79FRI JUN 15thBOS vs. SEA (RL-1½ +160)
6-7Risk $10.00 to Win $16.00LostL142-37.531+$146.70
78THU JUN 14thNYM vs. ATL (RL-1½ +190)
3-6Risk $10.00 to Win $19.00WonW142-36.538+$156.70
77WED JUN 13thTX vs. LAD (RL-1½ +125)
2-3Risk $10.00 to Win $12.50LostL141-36.532+$137.70
76TUE JUN 12thNYM vs. ATL (RL-1½ +145)
2-8Risk $10.00 to Win $14.50WonW241-35.539+$147.70
75MON JUN 11thBOS (RL-1½ +135) vs. BAL
2-0Risk $10.00 to Win $13.50WonW140-35.533+$133.20
74SUN JUN 10thKC vs. OAK (RL-1½ +135)
2-3Risk $10.00 to Win $13.50LostL139-35.527+$119.70
73SAT JUN 9thSF vs. WSH (RL-1½ +135)
5-7Risk $10.00 to Win $13.50WonW339-34.534+$129.70
72FRI JUN 8thKC vs. OAK (RL-1½ +160)
2-7Risk $10.00 to Win $16.00WonW238-34.527+$116.20
71THU JUN 7thKC vs. OAK (RL-1½ +135)
1-4Risk $10.00 to Win $13.50WonW137-34.521+$100.20
70WED JUN 6thOAK (RL-1½ +130) vs. TX
2-8Risk $10.00 to Win $13.00LostL236-34.514+$86.70
69TUE JUN 5thBAL vs. NYM (RL-1½ +175)
2-1Risk $10.00 to Win $17.50LostL136-33.521+$96.70
68MON JUN 4thKC vs. LAA (RL-1½ +115)
6-9Risk $10.00 to Win $11.50WonW136-32.529+$106.70
67SUN JUN 3rdMIL (RL-1½ +100) vs. CHW1-6Risk $10.00 to Win $10.00LostL135-32.522+$95.20
66SAT JUN 2ndMIL (RL-1½ +112) vs. CHW
5-0Risk $10.00 to Win $11.20WonW235-31.530+$105.20
65FRI JUN 1stOAK (RL-1½ +125) vs. KC16-0Risk $10.00 to Win $12.50WonW134-31.523+$94.00
64THU MAY 31stTB vs. OAK (Under 7½ -105)3-7Risk $10.50 to Win $10.00LostL233-31.515+$81.50
63WED MAY 30thSF vs. COL (RL-1½ +115)
7-4Risk $10.00 to Win $11.50LostL133-30.523+$92.00
62TUE MAY 29thSF vs. COL (RL-1½ +140)
4-11Risk $10.00 to Win $14.00WonW433-29.532+$102.00
61MON MAY 28thCIN vs. ARZ (RL-1½ +145)
5-12Risk $10.00 to Win $14.50WonW332-29.524+$88.00
60SUN MAY 27thStL (ML +105) vs. PIT6-4Risk $10.00 to Win $10.50WonW231-29.516+$73.50
59SAT MAY 26thNYM vs. MIL (RL-1½ +150)6-17Risk $10.00 to Win $15.00WonW130-29.508+$63.00
58FRI MAY 25thCIN vs. COL (RL-1½ -105)
4-5Risk $10.50 to Win $10.00LostL229-29.500+$48.00
57THU MAY 24thHOU vs. CLE (Under 8 -110)8-2Risk $11.00 to Win $10.00LostL129-28.508+$58.50
56WED MAY 23rdARZ vs. MIL (Over 8½ +105)
2-9Risk $10.00 to Win $10.50WonW129-27.517+$69.50
55TUE MAY 22ndKC vs. StL (RL-1½ +100)
5-1Risk $10.00 to Win $10.00LostL128-27.509+$59.00
54MON MAY 21stKC vs. StL (RL-1½ +100)0-6Risk $10.00 to Win $10.00WonW328-26.518+$69.00
53SUN MAY 20thOAK (RL-1½ +150) vs. TOR
9-2Risk $10.00 to Win $15.00WonW227-26.509+$59.00
52SAT MAY 19thMIA vs. ATL (RL-1½ -105)
1-8Risk $10.50 to Win $10.00WonW126-26.500+$44.00
51FRI MAY 18thBAL vs. BOS (RL-1½ +115)7-4Risk $10.00 to Win $11.50LostL225-26.490+$34.00
50THU MAY 17thSD vs. PIT (RL-1½ +137)5-4Risk $10.00 to Win $13.70LostL125-25.500+$44.00
49WED MAY 16thPHI vs. BAL (RL-1½ +155)4-1Risk $10.00 to Win $15.50WonW225-24.510+$54.00
48TUE MAY 15thCWS vs. PIT (RL-1½ +150) 0-7Risk $10.00 to Win $15.00WonW124-24.500+$38.50
47MON MAY 14thCOL vs. SD (Under 7 +100)6-4Risk $10.00 to Win $10.00LostL223-24.489+$23.50
46SUN MAY 13thATL (RL-1½ +125) vs. MIA
4-3Risk $10.00 to Win $12.50LostL123-23.500+$33.50
45SAT MAY 12thATL (RL-1½ +125) vs. MIA
10-5Risk $10.00 to Win $12.50WonW123-22.511+$43.50
44FRI MAY 11thMIN vs. LAA (RL-1½ +115)
5-4Risk $10.00 to Win $11.50LostL322-22.500+$31.00
43THU MAY 10thStL (RL-1½ +107) vs. SD
2-1Risk $10.00 to Win $10.70LostL222-21.511+$41.00
42WED MAY 9thPIT (RL-1½ +145) vs. CWS6-5Risk $10.00 to Win $14.50LostL122-20.523+$51.00
41TUE MAY 8thPIT (RL-1½ +115) vs. CWS
10-6Risk $10.00 to Win $11.50WonW222-19.536+$61.00
40MON MAY 7thSF vs. PHI (Over 9 +100)0-11Risk $10.00 to Win $10.00WonW121-19.525+$49.50
39SUN MAY 6thBAL vs. OAK (RL-1½ +125)
1-2Risk $10.00 to Win $12.50LostL120-19.513+$39.50
38SAT MAY 5thBAL vs. OAK (RL-1½ +145)
0-2Risk $10.00 to Win $14.50WonW320-18.526+$49.50
37FRI MAY 4thBAL vs. OAK (RL-1½ +135)
4-6Risk $10.00 to Win $13.50WonW219-18.513+$35.00
36THU MAY 3rdBAL vs. LAA (RL-1½ +110)3-12Risk $10.00 to Win $11.00WonW118-18.500+$21.50
35WED MAY 2ndCWS vs. StL (RL-1½ -125)
2-3Risk #12.50 to Win $10.00LostL317-18.485+$10.50
34TUE MAY 1stMIL (RL-1½ +145) vs. CIN
7-6Risk $10.00 to Win $14.50LostL217-17.500+$23.00
33MON APR 30thNYY vs. HOU (RL-1½ +135)1-2Risk $10.00 to Win $13.50LostL117-16.515+$33.00
32SUN APR 29thTX vs. TOR (RL-1½ -110)2-7Risk $11.00 to Win $10.00WonW117-15.531+$43.00
31SAT APR 28thOAK (ML +196) vs. HOU0-11Risk $10.00 to Win $19.60LostL316-15.516+$33.00
30FRI APR 27thStL (RL-1½ +130) vs. PIT
5-6Risk $10.00 to Win $13.00LostL216-14.533+$43.00
29THU APR 26thSEA vs. CLE (RL-1½ +195)5-4Risk $10.00 to Win $19.50LostL116-13.551+$53.00
28WED APR 25thNYM vs. StL (RL-1½ +150)
1-9Risk $10.00 to Win $15.00WonW116-12.571+$63.00
27TUE APR 24thLAA vs. HOU (RL-1½ +150)8-7Risk $10.00 to Win $15.00LostL215-12.555+$48.00
26MON APR 23rdSD vs. COL (RL-1½ +112)13-6Risk $10.00 to Win $11.20LostL115-11.577+$58.00
25SUN APR 22ndMIA vs. MIL (RL-1½ +106)2-4Risk $10.00 to Win $10.60WonW115-10.600+$68.00
24SAT APR 21stMIA vs. MIL (RL-1½ +130)
5-6Risk $10.00 to Win $13.00LostL114-10.583+$57.40
23FRI APR 20thMIA vs. MIL (RL-1½ +130)
0-8Risk $10.00 to Win $13.00WonW514-9.608+$67.40
22THU APR 19thMIA vs. MIL (RL-1½ +110)3-12Risk $10.00 to Win $11.00WonW413-9.590+$54.40
21WED APR 18thCIN vs. MIL (RL-1½ +150)0-2Risk $10.00 to Win $15.00WonW312-9.571+$43.40
20TUE APR 17thKC vs. TOR (RL-1½ -115)3-11Risk $11.50 to Win $10.00WonW211-9.550+$28.40
19MON APR 16thCHW vs. OAK (RL-1½ +150)1-8Risk $10.00 to Win $15.00WonW110-9.526+$18.40
18SUN APR 15th7-Team ML Parlay (+1262)-0-Risk $10.00 to Win $126.28LostL29-9.500+$3.40
17SAT APR 14thPIT (RL-1½ +105) vs. MIA
1-0Risk $10.00 to Win $10.50LostL19-8.529+$13.40
16FRI APR 13thStL (RL-1½ +107) vs. CIN
5-3Risk $10.00 to Win $10.70WonW19-7.563+$23.40
15THU APR 12thDET vs. CLE (Under 8 +105)3-9Risk $10.00 to Win $10.50LostL18-7.533+$12.70
14WED APR 11thLAA (ML+102) vs. TX7-2Risk $10.00 to Win $10.20WonW18-6.571+$22.70
13TUE APR 10thOAK (ML +115) vs. LAD0-4Risk $10.00 to Win $11.50LostL27-6.538+$12.50
12MON APR 9thCIN vs. PHI (RL-1½ +155)
5-6Risk $10.00 to Win $15.50LostL17-5.583+$22.50
11SUN APR 8thKC vs. CLE (RL-1½ -110)1-3Risk $11.00 to Win $10.00WonW17-4.636+$32.50
10SAT APR 7thMIA (ML+145) vs.PHI1-20Risk $10.00 to Win $14.50LostL16-4.600+$22.50
9FRI APR 6thCIN vs. PIT (ML+100)3-14Risk $10.00 to Win $10.00WonW16-3.666+$32.50
8THU APR 5thTX vs. OAK (RL-1½ +145) 6-5Risk $10.00 to Win $14.50LostL25-3.625+$22.50
7WED APR 4thWSH (RL-1½ -140) vs. MIA1-7Risk $14.00 to Win $10.00LostL15-2.714+$32.50
6TUE APR 3rdBOS (RL-1½ -140) vs. MIA4-2Risk $14.00 to Win $10.00WonW55-1.833+$46.50
5MON APR 2ndCWS vs. TOR (RL-1½ +125)
2-4Risk $10.00 to Win $12.50WonW44-1.800+$36.50
4SUN APR 1stLAA vs. OAK (Over 8½ -114)7-4Risk $11.40 to Win $10.00WonW33-1.750+$24.00
 3SAT MAR 31stMIN (RL-1½ +140) vs. BAL6-2Risk $10.00 to Win $14.00WonW22-1.666+$14.00
 2FRI MAR 30thWSH (RL-1½ -115) vs. CIN
2-0Risk $11.50 to Win $10.00WonW11-1.500Even
1THU MAR 29thStL (ML+121) vs. NYM4-9Risk $10.00 to Win $12.10LostL10-1.000-$10.00

Analysis per Wager Type (Current Through 104 Games): 

Wager TypeWL.PctRiskto WinNet (+/-)Units (u)
Runline (-1½) Home Dogs (+Odds)
Runline (-1½) Visitor Dogs (+Odds)
Runline (-1½) Home Favorites (-Odds)
Runline (-1½) Visitor Favorites (-Odds)
Moneyline Favorites (-Odds)00.000$0.00$0.00+$0.00+0u
Moneyline Dogs (-Odds)65.545$110.00$168.40+$40.70+4.07u
Totals: 5351.510$1,080.80$1,459.48+$169.40+16.94u


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About XP's FREE Picks

General Form #1:  Parenthesis follow the team XP is investing in.  In the following example, the first line indicates XP is investing in StL to win.  XP is investing in NYM to win on the second line. 

StL (ML +120) vs. NYM
StL vs. NYM (ML -120) 

With few exceptions, most wagers will be familiar:  ML = Moneyline;  RL = Runline;  and O/U = Over/Under (Totals).

XP uses the best line available at the time of the wager from BetUS, 5Dimes, SportBet, BetPhoenix, and bodog. 

General Form #2:  XP invests ("risks") 1 unit per pick.  Each unit is worth $10.00.  You determine the amount assigned to each unit according to your bankroll (i.e., how much you can afford and how confident you are). Obviously everyone is different... some may assign $1.00 per unit, some may assign $10.00 per unit, and others may assign $100.00 per unit, etc., you get the point.

Goal:  The goal is to be ahead at the end of the season and maybe even have a little fun during the MLB season.

Don't "follow" me (or anyone for that matter)!  The purpose of XP's FREE Picks is to provide for you another resource as you gather information from a variety of resources to collect knowledge as just one small part of your capping duties.  If you choos to mindlessly "follow me" (or anyone else) you're being lazy.  I don't know if I'm a great capper or a horrible capper - every year is different.  I've had some successful seasons and some failing seasons so I guess we won't know until the end of the season.  Sometimes I get hot... sometimes I'm cold!  Plus, if someone is merely "following" another and there is a cold streak, they for some reason get mad at who they are following.  You are responsible for your investments.  Good luck! 

XP likes underdogs for a lot of reasons, but will still invest in favorites.  Ultimately, the investment, no matter what it is, is intended to be a winner, baby!

Bottom line:  Success in sports investment is ultimately measured in the total units (+/-) you have.  Records and winning percentages don't really count:  it's cool to brag that you are 9-1, winning at a 90% clip, but if you're still down 5 units, that is what matters.  It's cool to brag that, "I'm hot!  I'm on a 7-game winning streak!", but if you're still down 5 units, that is what matters.

Cardinal Rule #1:  Never invest more than you are more than happy to lose. 

Cardinal Rule #2:  Don't bet parlays.

On April 15th, I placed a 7-team parlay, just throwing away money.

Cardinal Rule #3:  Don't chase.

On July 14th, I chased hoping MIL could take the second game of the doubleheader, losing two units instead of one.

Cardinal Rule #4:  Don't bet props.

I'm not betting on if a player is gonna be wearing blue or white shoes and I'm not betting on the HR Derby.

Cardinal Rule #5:  Recognize trends.

>5 times I won the game on the RL and then went with the same team to win on the RL again the next day (0 for 5).

Cardinal Rule #6:  Don't play just for the action.

Okay, by definition, if I'm making a free pick every day, that could be called playing just for the action (but I do cap every game I wager).  And I'm gonna be playing the All-Star Game, even though the outcome is basically a coin-flip.  Oh well.

Cardinal Rule #7:  Increase/decrease wager size as per level of confidence.

There have been several times I've been very confident on certain games (and indeed, those games were winners).  In the second half of the season, when I'm feeling it, I'll up the risk and likewise, if I'm picking a game just to be picking a game, I'll decrease the risk.

Maybe I'll provide more info as the season progresses, maybe not.  

If you have questions, or want to provide content to this page, contact XP Sports via e-mail.

Thank you for visiting!


All picks are, um, just for education and entertainment purposes.  Good luck!
Everything about XP's FREE Picks is related to sports investing, not online wagering.  Know your local laws regarding this topic.
XP believes online sports wagering should become legal and regulated in the USA, just like it is everywhere else in the world.

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